Predictions on votes and prefs in Northern Metro


November 14, 2010

Here's a prediction of primary votes and how the Northern Metropolitan preferences will flow before all of the Group Voting Tickets were made public.

Labor (42%)
Prediction:
Carer Independents, Stephen Mayne, Greens, Sex Party, Country Alliance, DLP, CDP, Family First, Liberals.
Actual: Sex Party, Greens, Carer Independents, Country Alliance, DLP, Stephen Mayne, Family First, Liberal, CDP.

Greens (24%)
Prediction:
Stephen Mayne, Sex Party, Labor, Carer Independents, CDP, DLP, Liberal, Country Alliance, Family First.
Actual: Stephen Mayne, Carer Independents, Sex Party, Labor, DLP, Family First, CDP, Liberal, Country Alliance.

Liberal (23%)
Prediction:
Country Alliance, Family First, DLP, CDP, Carer Independents, Stephen Mayne, Sex Party, Greens, Labor.
Actual: Sex Party, Family First, DLP, Country Alliance, CDP, Carer Independents, Stephen Mayne, Labor, Greens.

DLP (3.0%)
Prediction:
CDP, Carer Independents, Stephen Mayne, Family First, Country Alliance, Liberal, Labor, Greens, Sex Party.
Actual: CDP, Carer Independents, Stephen Mayne, Country Alliance, Family First, Liberal, Labor, Sex Party, Greens.

Family First (2.7%)
Prediction:
Stephen Mayne, DLP, CDP, Carer Independents, Country Alliance, Liberal, Labor, Sex Party, Greens.
Actual: Stephen Mayne, CDP, Carer Independents, Country Alliance, DLP, Liberal, Labor, Sex Party, Greens.

Sex Party (2.3%)
Prediction:
Carer Independents, Stephen Mayne, Greens, Labor, Country Alliance, Liberal, CDP, DLP, Family First.
Actual: Carer Independents, Stephen Mayne, Greens, Country Alliance, Labor, Liberal, Family First, CDP, DLP.

Stephen Mayne (1%)
Actual:
Carer Independents, Sex Party, DLP, Greens, Family First, CDP, Liberal, Labor, Country Alliance.

Carer Independents (0.8%)
Prediction:
Stephen Mayne, Sex Party, DLP, CDP, Country Alliance, Greens, Family First, Liberal, Labor.
Actual: Stephen Mayne, Greens, DLP, Sex Party, Family First, CDP, Country Alliance, Labor, Liberal.

CDP (0.7%)
Prediction:
DLP, Family First, Country Alliance, Liberal, Carer Independents, Stephen Mayne, Labor, Greens, Sex Party.
Actual: DLP, Family First, Country Alliance, Liberal, Stephen Mayne, Carer Independents, Labor, Greens, Sex Party.

Country Alliance (0.5%)
Prediction:
DLP, Family First, Labor, Liberal, CDP, Carer Independents, Stephen Mayne, Sex Party, Greens.
Actual: Sex Party, DLP, Labor, Liberal, Carer Independents, Family First, CDP, Stephen Mayne, Greens